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Singapore’s NODX growth falls short in March

Newsflash Asia

- April 21, 2025

Singapore’s non-oil domestic exports (NODX) growth in March was weaker than anticipated, according to a report by Nomura Global Economics.

The growth rate fell to 5.4% year-on-year, significantly below the consensus forecast of 13.6% and Nomura’s own prediction of 15.2%. This slowdown was primarily attributed to a sharp decline in non-monetary gold exports, which dropped to 78.1% from 106.8% year-on-year.

Despite the overall slowdown, excluding gold, NODX growth still rose to 2.7% year-on-year from 1.0%, driven by low base effects in electronics and pharmaceuticals exports. Electronics exports increased by 11.9%, whilst pharmaceuticals surged by 24.9%, aligning with Nomura’s expectations.

China remained a significant drag on NODX, with growth worsening to -29.4% from -27.4%. Exports to the US also saw a sharp decline, falling to 5.7% year-on-year from 21.5%, largely due to reduced gold exports. Meanwhile, exports to the EU moderated to 11.0% from 16.7%, despite an improvement in pharmaceutical exports.

Nomura maintains its 2025 GDP growth forecast for Singapore at 2.3%, but highlights rising downside risks due to escalating US-China trade tensions and weaker-than-expected GDP growth in the first quarter. The Singapore government recently adjusted its official 2025 GDP growth forecast range to 0-2% from 1-3%.

Looking ahead, Nomura anticipates further moderation in NODX growth, although resilient domestic demand and fiscal support measures from Budget 2025 are expected to provide some offset.

This story was selected and published by a human editor, with content adapted from original press material using AI tools. Spot an error? Report it here.

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